3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,350 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,459/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$750
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$306
Net cashflow
$-12/mo
Annual
$-139/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.83%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
2.44%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-139/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $58k (2.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in MI, #1,034 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities D+.
Monroe Public Schools (suburban): math 24% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #278 of 540 in MI (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Monroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior siding
— Light discoloration
Minor: interior walls
— Some wear
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— Standard cabinets
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— Standard fixtures
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