923 Stevens Trl · Monroe, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very clean 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths. All appliances can be included with the sale of the home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Raisin Ridge mobile home park with has a playground, community room and an inground pool.
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- Inground pool
- Community room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-139/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $58k (2.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Monroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in MI, #1,034 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities D+.
- Monroe Public Schools (suburban): math 24% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #278 of 540 in MI (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.83%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,645
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -52.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 879 Stevens Trial | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-0%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $22 | 92 |
| 3830 Davids Lndg | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-5%) | 13mo | $18,000 | $14 | 69 |
| 1150 S Raisinville Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (+5%) | 14mo | $185,000 | $131 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-9,964
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-7,667
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48161
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,459 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$750
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $-12
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $30 | -5% $9 | +0% $-12 | +5% $-32 | +10% $-53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-127 | -5% $-69 | +0% $-12 | +5% $46 | +10% $104 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $19 | -0.5pp $4 | base $-12 | +0.5pp $-27 | +1.0pp $-43 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $750 · $9,000/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-19days on market $59,900 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $59,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $59,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-03-13$59,900 Active 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Very clean 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths. All appliances can be included with the sale of the home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Raisin Ridge mobile home park with has a playground, community room and an inground pool.
-
2026-03-13$59,900 Active 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Very clean 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths. All appliances can be included with the sale of the home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Raisin Ridge mobile home park with has a playground, community room and an inground pool.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,400
- − Management
- −$1,400
- − HOA
- −$9,000
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable loss
- −$593
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$142
- After-tax cash flow
- $3/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom manufactured home on a rented lot in Raisin Ridge mobile home park requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — Light discoloration
- Minor interior walls — Some wear
- Minor kitchen cabinets — Standard cabinets
- Minor bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
- Resale Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes kitchen
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes bathroom
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Light discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior walls · Some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen cabinets · Standard cabinets | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes kitchen ↑
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes bathroom ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2624150
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,437
- Composite
- 30.33/100
- National rank
- #6269
- State rank
- #278 of 540 in MI
Livability — Monroe
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #1034
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 54,460 people
- City population
- 54,460
- Metro
- Monroe, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,304
- Household income
- $67,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 733.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,439 people
- By 2030
- 140,033 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 128,408 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 115,024 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 87,273 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 63,110 · -56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Romanian 8% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -178.99%
- Current HPI
- 126.2638
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Monroe, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…