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923 Stevens Trl
D+ Composite 45.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

923 Stevens Trl · Monroe, MI 48161
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,350 sqft · SingleFamily · 97 Days on market
Built 2003 Average condition 3,600 sqft lot $44/sqft · 53% below area $750/mo HOA · 51% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very clean 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths. All appliances can be included with the sale of the home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Raisin Ridge mobile home park with has a playground, community room and an inground pool.

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • Inground pool
  • Community room

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMERENTED LOTPLAYGROUNDCOMMUNITY ROOMINGROUND POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-139/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $58k (2.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Monroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in MI, #1,034 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities D+.
  • Monroe Public Schools (suburban): math 24% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #278 of 540 in MI (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Recommended offer $54,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.44%
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.83%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$126,645
List price
$59,900
Delta
-52.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
879 Stevens Trial 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-0%) 5mo $30,000 $22 92
3830 Davids Lndg 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,288 (-5%) 13mo $18,000 $14 69
1150 S Raisinville Rd 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,414 (+5%) 14mo $185,000 $131 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-9,964
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-7,667
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48161

Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,459 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$750
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$-12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,473
Max offer price $58,218
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $30 -5% $9 +0% $-12 +5% $-32 +10% $-53
Rent -10% $-127 -5% $-69 +0% $-12 +5% $46 +10% $104
Rate -1.0pp $19 -0.5pp $4 base $-12 +0.5pp $-27 +1.0pp $-43

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$750 · $9,000/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,900 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 91 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 90 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 85 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 78 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 77 DOM
  16. 2026-03-13
    listed $59,900 Active 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    Very clean 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths. All appliances can be included with the sale of the home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Raisin Ridge mobile home park with has a playground, community room and an inground pool.

  17. 2026-03-13
    listed $59,900 Active 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    Very clean 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths. All appliances can be included with the sale of the home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Raisin Ridge mobile home park with has a playground, community room and an inground pool.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,504
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,400
− Management
−$1,400
− HOA
−$9,000
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable loss
−$593
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$142
After-tax cash flow
$3/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This 3-bedroom manufactured home on a rented lot in Raisin Ridge mobile home park requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor exterior siding — Light discoloration
  • Minor interior walls — Some wear
  • Minor kitchen cabinets — Standard cabinets
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance
  • Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes kitchen
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes bathroom

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Light discoloration Minor $500–3,000
interior walls · Some wear Minor $500–3,000
kitchen cabinets · Standard cabinets Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $2,000–12,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance
  • Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes kitchen
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes bathroom

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe Public Schools
NCES district ID
2624150
Math proficiency
24% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$46,437
Composite
30.33/100
National rank
#6269
State rank
#278 of 540 in MI

Livability — Monroe

Score
83/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#1034

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 54,460 people
City population
54,460
Metro
Monroe, MI
Population (ZIP)
26,304
Household income
$67,414
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
733.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,439 people
By 2030
140,033 · -3.1%
By 2040
128,408 · -11.1%
By 2050
115,024 · -20.4%
By 2075
87,273 · -39.6%
By 2100
63,110 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Romanian 8% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -178.99%
Current HPI
126.2638
Rent YoY
Metro
Monroe, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…