15 bd · 10.5 ba ·
2,214 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,541/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$351
Tax + insurance
−$112
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$744
Net cashflow
$2,334/mo
Annual
$28,012/yr
Cap rate
48.10%
Cash-on-cash
149.32%
DSCR
7.64
1% rule
5.29%
Cash to close
$18,760
Investor read
This is a 2×1bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $67k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $778/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
Binghamton City School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #557 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $67k implies a 235% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 48.1% vs local median 6.4% in Binghamton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,541/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1230% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29