4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,983 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Other
· Active
· 223 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,355/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$469
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$414/mo
Annual
$4,968/yr
Cap rate
11.84%
Cash-on-cash
19.82%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$25,060
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#425 in PA, #3,875 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, health & safety D.
Smethport Area SD (rural): math 34% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #270 of 539 in PA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in McKean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McKean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3GN8176BQ9Y5FN
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29