🌊 Lakefront
246 S Marvin St · Smethport, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW PRICE! MAKE IT YOUR OWN! ROOM TO GROW in this 2 story property located in the quaint community of Smethport! Whether you need more bedrooms or the option of a 2 unit apartment home, this is a great opportunity. This home's convenient location and the size might be just what you need to make it your own! The first floor offers an entry, living room, 2 bedrooms, spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, laundry room with washer and dryer, full bath and a mud room. The second floor has another spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, or can be converted to the homeowners current needs, 2 -3 bedrooms, one as a living room if used as a 2-unit. There is a back deck with an added gazebo. The 2 car detached garage also has an additional workshop built on. There is a shed in the back yard. The yard is the perfect size with a touch of nature in the backyard that is adjacent to Marvin Creek. The property is being sold in "AS IS" condition. Cash or Conventional Financing only. Property has a floor furnace on the first floor, wall unit on the second floor and a full basement.
Key facts
- Added gazebo
- Additional workshop
- Back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#425 in PA, #3,875 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, health & safety D.
- Smethport Area SD (rural): math 34% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #270 of 539 in PA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in McKean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- McKean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.82%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,373
- List price
- $89,500
- Delta
- -46.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $32,239
- Equity at exit
- $34,974
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.37×
- Total profit
- $84,331
- Equity at exit
- $50,113
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16749
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,355 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,796/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $465 | -5% $439 | +0% $414 | +5% $389 | +10% $363 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $307 | -5% $360 | +0% $414 | +5% $468 | +10% $521 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $459 | -0.5pp $437 | base $414 | +0.5pp $391 | +1.0pp $367 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,500 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,500 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,500 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,500 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,500 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,500 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,500 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,500 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,500 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,500 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $89,500 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
NEW PRICE! MAKE IT YOUR OWN! ROOM TO GROW in this 2 story property located in the quaint community of Smethport! Whether you need more bedrooms or the option of a 2 unit apartment home, this is a great opportunity. This home's convenient location and the size might be just what you need to make it your own! The first floor offers an entry, living room, 2 bedrooms, spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, laundry room with washer and dryer, full bath and a mud room. The second floor has another spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, or can be converted to the homeowners current needs, 2 -3 bedrooms, one as a living room if used as a 2-unit. There is a back deck with an added gazebo. The 2 car detached garage also has an additional workshop built on. There is a shed in the back yard. The yard is the perfect size with a touch of nature in the backyard that is adjacent to Marvin Creek. The property is being sold in "AS IS" condition. Cash or Conventional Financing only. Property has a floor furnace on the first floor, wall unit on the second floor and a full basement.
-
2025-11-07$99,000 Active 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
NEW PRICE! MAKE IT YOUR OWN! ROOM TO GROW in this 2 story property located in the quaint community of Smethport! Whether you need more bedrooms or the option of a 2 unit apartment home, this is a great opportunity. This home's convenient location and the size might be just what you need to make it your own! The first floor offers an entry, living room, 2 bedrooms, spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, laundry room with washer and dryer, full bath and a mud room. The second floor has another spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, or can be converted to the homeowners current needs, 2 -3 bedrooms, one as a living room if used as a 2-unit. There is a back deck with an added gazebo. The 2 car detached garage also has an additional workshop built on. There is a shed in the back yard. The yard is the perfect size with a touch of nature in the backyard that is adjacent to Marvin Creek. The property is being sold in "AS IS" condition. Cash or Conventional Financing only. Property has a floor furnace on the first floor, wall unit on the second floor and a full basement.
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-02-25$109,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,796 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,796 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$1,796
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,301
- − Management
- −$1,301
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $3,796
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$911
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,057/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Smethport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221690
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,944
- Composite
- 38.48/100
- National rank
- #4186
- State rank
- #270 of 539 in PA
Livability — Smethport
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #3875
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Smethport, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,691
Population outlook (McKean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,518 people
- By 2030
- 39,290 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 36,438 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 33,556 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 27,682 · -31.7%
- By 2100
- 21,726 · -46.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McKean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.2) · D 26.0% · R 73.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.3pp · 2024: -47.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.93%
- Current HPI
- 116.303
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-18.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $89,500 UNYREIS
- 2025-11-07 Listed $99,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-02-25 Listed $109,999 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,796 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…