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246 S Marvin St 🌊 Lakefront
A- Composite 83.56
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,500

246 S Marvin St · Smethport, PA 16749
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,983 sqft · Other public records · 221 Days on market
Built 1920 0.72 ac lot $45/sqft · 46% below area Est $166k · 46% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NEW PRICE! MAKE IT YOUR OWN! ROOM TO GROW in this 2 story property located in the quaint community of Smethport! Whether you need more bedrooms or the option of a 2 unit apartment home, this is a great opportunity. This home's convenient location and the size might be just what you need to make it your own! The first floor offers an entry, living room, 2 bedrooms, spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, laundry room with washer and dryer, full bath and a mud room. The second floor has another spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, or can be converted to the homeowners current needs, 2 -3 bedrooms, one as a living room if used as a 2-unit. There is a back deck with an added gazebo. The 2 car detached garage also has an additional workshop built on. There is a shed in the back yard. The yard is the perfect size with a touch of nature in the backyard that is adjacent to Marvin Creek. The property is being sold in "AS IS" condition. Cash or Conventional Financing only. Property has a floor furnace on the first floor, wall unit on the second floor and a full basement.

Key facts

  • Added gazebo
  • Additional workshop
  • Back deck

Tags

2 UNIT APARTMENT HOMESPACIOUS EAT IN KITCHENBACK DECKADDED GAZEBODETACHED GARAGEADDITIONAL WORKSHOP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#425 in PA, #3,875 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, health & safety D.
  • Smethport Area SD (rural): math 34% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #270 of 539 in PA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in McKean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • McKean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
11.84%
Cash-on-cash
19.82%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,373
List price
$89,500
Delta
-46.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$32,239
Equity at exit
$34,974
10-year hold
IRR
25.8%
Equity multiple
4.37×
Total profit
$84,331
Equity at exit
$50,113

Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16749

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$469
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,796/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$414

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $89,500
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $465 -5% $439 +0% $414 +5% $389 +10% $363
Rent -10% $307 -5% $360 +0% $414 +5% $468 +10% $521
Rate -1.0pp $459 -0.5pp $437 base $414 +0.5pp $391 +1.0pp $367

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,375
Closing costs
$2,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,500 Active 221 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,500 Active 220 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,500 Active 219 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,500 Active 218 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,500 Active 216 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,500 Active 215 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,500 Active 212 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,500 Active 211 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,500 Active 210 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,500 Active 209 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,500 Active 206 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,500 Active 205 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,500 Active 204 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,500 Active 203 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    price $89,500 1094-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1094 chars)

    NEW PRICE! MAKE IT YOUR OWN! ROOM TO GROW in this 2 story property located in the quaint community of Smethport! Whether you need more bedrooms or the option of a 2 unit apartment home, this is a great opportunity. This home's convenient location and the size might be just what you need to make it your own! The first floor offers an entry, living room, 2 bedrooms, spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, laundry room with washer and dryer, full bath and a mud room. The second floor has another spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, or can be converted to the homeowners current needs, 2 -3 bedrooms, one as a living room if used as a 2-unit. There is a back deck with an added gazebo. The 2 car detached garage also has an additional workshop built on. There is a shed in the back yard. The yard is the perfect size with a touch of nature in the backyard that is adjacent to Marvin Creek. The property is being sold in "AS IS" condition. Cash or Conventional Financing only. Property has a floor furnace on the first floor, wall unit on the second floor and a full basement.

  16. 2025-11-07
    listed $99,000 Active 1094-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1094 chars)

    NEW PRICE! MAKE IT YOUR OWN! ROOM TO GROW in this 2 story property located in the quaint community of Smethport! Whether you need more bedrooms or the option of a 2 unit apartment home, this is a great opportunity. This home's convenient location and the size might be just what you need to make it your own! The first floor offers an entry, living room, 2 bedrooms, spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, laundry room with washer and dryer, full bath and a mud room. The second floor has another spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, or can be converted to the homeowners current needs, 2 -3 bedrooms, one as a living room if used as a 2-unit. There is a back deck with an added gazebo. The 2 car detached garage also has an additional workshop built on. There is a shed in the back yard. The yard is the perfect size with a touch of nature in the backyard that is adjacent to Marvin Creek. The property is being sold in "AS IS" condition. Cash or Conventional Financing only. Property has a floor furnace on the first floor, wall unit on the second floor and a full basement.

  17. 2025-09-30
    historical
  18. 2025-02-25
    listed $109,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,796 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,796 · $150/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,258
− Mortgage interest
−$5,013
− Property taxes
−$1,796
− Insurance
−$448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$2,604
Taxable income
$3,796
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$911
After-tax cash flow
$4,057/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Smethport Area SD
NCES district ID
4221690
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$44,944
Composite
38.48/100
National rank
#4186
State rank
#270 of 539 in PA

Livability — Smethport

Score
75/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#3875

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Smethport, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,691

Population outlook (McKean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,518 people
By 2030
39,290 · -3.0%
By 2040
36,438 · -10.1%
By 2050
33,556 · -17.2%
By 2075
27,682 · -31.7%
By 2100
21,726 · -46.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McKean

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.2) · D 26.0% · R 73.2%
2008→2024 swing
-29.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.3pp · 2024: -47.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.93%
Current HPI
116.303
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $89,500 UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $99,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-02-25 Listed $109,999 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,796 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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