4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,616 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,555/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$742
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$747
Net cashflow
$-163/mo
Annual
$-1,952/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.64%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $396k (6.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $356k (16.3% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($419k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $356k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#113 in MI, #2,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Troy School District (urban): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #8 of 540 in MI (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Martell Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #51 of 1,397 statewide, top 5%, 389 students, 14% FRL); Smith Middle School (math 71% / reading 79%, grade A, #8 of 493 statewide, top 3%, 611 students, 15% FRL); Troy High School (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A, #4 of 713 statewide, top 1%, 2,094 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 21% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $310k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.6% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29