None bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1958
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,286/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$648
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$900
Net cashflow
$908/mo
Annual
$10,891/yr
Cap rate
9.64%
Cash-on-cash
11.96%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $349k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $908 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $349k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $339k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Williams Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 349 students, 100% FRL); Miller Magnet Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 585 students, 100% FRL); Central High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 844 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,286/mo this rent would consume 133% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 2674% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Paint
— Paint appears faded and needs repainting.
Major: Flooring
— Hardwood floors show significant wear and need refinishing.
Major: Exterior Siding
— Siding shows signs of wear and may need repainting or replacement.
Major: Windows
— Windows frames show wear and may need repainting or replacement.
Major: Kitchen Countertops
— Countertops show signs of wear and may need replacement or resurfacing.
Major: Bathroom Fixtures
— Fixtures show signs of wear and may need replacement or refurbishing.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3J42A20PMHSHP2
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29