9 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,840 sqft ·
Built 1958
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,480/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,015
Tax + insurance
−$947
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,151
Net cashflow
$367/mo
Annual
$4,401/yr
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.73%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$161,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $575k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $122/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $548k (4.7% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $548k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#353 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, commute D+.
Zion-Benton Twp Hsd 126 (suburban): math 9% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #531 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Zion Central Middle School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #612 of 665 statewide, top 93%, 323 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
9 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 47817% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $425k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.8% in Zion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,480/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1009% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29