4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,944 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,791/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,272
Tax + insurance
−$277
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$376
Net cashflow
$-134/mo
Annual
$-1,608/yr
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.37%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$67,900
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $242k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (9.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (26.2% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $179k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Alpha Hart Lewis (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 486 students, 99% FRL); West Middle School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #300 of 391 statewide, top 77%, 504 students, 58% FRL); David H. Hickman High (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #236 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 2,044 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 35% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3KCFW36CC84BQ2
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29