6 bd · 4.5 ba ·
2,160 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 116 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,511/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$293
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$-16/mo
Annual
$-196/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.40%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-196/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (1.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (13.6% below list).
It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $151k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#120 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
Tecumseh (town): math 13% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #215 of 270 in OK (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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