2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,183 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,463/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,171
Tax + insurance
−$690
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$727
Net cashflow
$-125/mo
Annual
$-1,505/yr
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.30%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$115,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $414k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $396k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $346k (16.4% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($377k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $346k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#132 in CA, #4,576 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
San Luis Coastal Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #118 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Pacheco Elementary (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #667 of 1,571 statewide, top 43%, 482 students, 36% FRL); Laguna Middle (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B+, #57 of 498 statewide, top 12%, 789 students, 30% FRL); San Luis Obispo High (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #234 of 1,170 statewide, top 21%, 1,644 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,104 units permitted in San Luis Obispo County in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Luis Obispo County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.1% in San Luis Obispo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3MP6B3FMVCX6PK
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29