2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
934 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Townhouse
· Active
· 262 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,274/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$432
HOA
−$520
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$477
Net cashflow
$-514/mo
Annual
$-6,165/yr
Cap rate
3.91%
Cash-on-cash
-8.50%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $259k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-514 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (28.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (12.2% below list).
It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $185k (28.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#344 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, cost of living F.
Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Landau Elementary (608 students, 98% FRL); James Workman Middle (1,028 students, 99% FRL); Rancho Mirage High (math 15% / reading 38%, grade F, #804 of 1,170 statewide, top 69%, 1,491 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 73% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 615 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 30d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
19 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask is 12263% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3N3HAR5WMHSG76
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29