5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,642 sqft ·
Built 1908
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$517/mo
Annual
$6,206/yr
Cap rate
15.42%
Cash-on-cash
32.59%
DSCR
2.45
1% rule
1.84%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $574 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#264 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Stafford (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #254 of 280 in KS (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Stafford Elementary (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #388 of 684 statewide, top 61%, 139 students, 66% FRL); Stafford Middle School/High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #289 of 327 statewide, top 93%, 95 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 49% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Stafford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stafford County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29