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221 W Broadway St
B Composite 73.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$68,000

221 W Broadway St · Stafford, KS 67578
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,642 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 133 Days on market
Built 1908 10,400 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Half bath
  • New ac unit
  • Recent upgrades

Tags

TWO CLOSETSHALF BATHRECENT UPGRADESNEW AC UNITHOT WATER HEATERROOF IN GREAT CONDITION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot dimensions approximately 80 x 130; Approximately 0.25 acre lot; Zoned NC.1 / R-1

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range/Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water softener

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#264 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Stafford (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #254 of 280 in KS (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Stafford Elementary (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #388 of 684 statewide, top 61%, 139 students, 66% FRL); Stafford Middle School/High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #289 of 327 statewide, top 93%, 95 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 49% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Stafford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $574 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Stafford County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
15.42%
Cash-on-cash
32.59%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$33,712
Equity at exit
$22,664
10-year hold
IRR
37.1%
Equity multiple
5.41×
Total profit
$83,984
Equity at exit
$29,697

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67578

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax est. 1.5%
$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$517

Break-even live

Break-even rent $595
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $564 -5% $541 +0% $517 +5% $494 +10% $470
Rent -10% $418 -5% $468 +0% $517 +5% $567 +10% $616
Rate -1.0pp $551 -0.5pp $534 base $517 +0.5pp $500 +1.0pp $482

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-06
    listed $68,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,994
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$1,020
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$5,448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,307
After-tax cash flow
$4,899/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stafford
NCES district ID
2011970
Math proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$38,497
Composite
22.02/100
National rank
#13537
State rank
#254 of 280 in KS

Livability — Stafford

Score
66/100
State rank
#264
US rank
#11686

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stafford, KS
Population (ZIP)
1,033

Population outlook (Stafford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,953 people
By 2030
3,818 · -3.4%
By 2040
3,609 · -8.7%
By 2050
3,473 · -12.1%
By 2075
3,300 · -16.5%
By 2100
2,957 · -25.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stafford

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.0) · D 17.1% · R 81.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -64.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.0 2020: R+63.3 2016: R+62.7 2012: R+53.4 2008: R+46.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.84%
Current HPI
147.6352
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending Hays MLS
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $68,000 Hays MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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