3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,978 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$18,973/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,889
Tax + insurance
−$1,333
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,984
Net cashflow
$4,754/mo
Annual
$57,044/yr
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.16%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$474,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.70M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($57k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.70M).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.64M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.64M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $161k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $150k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#969 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Westhampton Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 356 students, 43% FRL); Westhampton Middle School (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 434 students, 26% FRL); Westhampton Beach Senior High School (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 964 students, 24% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $277k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $693k; list at $1.70M implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $475k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$259k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3P1AW2CDVFSWSH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29