4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,176 sqft ·
Built 2009
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,318/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$-1,027/mo
Annual
$-12,325/yr
Cap rate
2.77%
Cash-on-cash
-12.58%
DSCR
0.44
1% rule
0.38%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (51.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (62.3% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (62.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#152 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Cherokee County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #58 of 129 in AL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cherokee County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 0.9% in Cedar Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 62% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3P7AH09DP7APVV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29