1950 Northcrest Dr

Crescent City, CA 95531

$63,000C+

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Built 1977 · Manufactured · Active · 345 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,467/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$330
• Tax + insurance: −$105
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$308
• Net cashflow: $724/mo
• Annual: $8,684/yr
• Cap rate: 20.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 49.23%
• DSCR: 3.19
• 1% rule: 2.33%
• Cash to close: $17,640

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $63k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $724 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
• It's been on market 345 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#730 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
• Del Norte County Unified (town): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #1,047 of 1,400 in CA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Crescent Elk Middle (491 students, 72% FRL).
• Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Del Norte County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Del Norte County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 8 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 26% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 3.1% in Crescent City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 345 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.