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1950 Northcrest Dr
C+ Composite 60.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$63,000

1950 Northcrest Dr · Crescent City, CA 95531
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Manufactured public records · 345 Days on market
Built 1977 $131/sqft · 124% above area Est $54k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A charming and affordable manufactured home nestled in the heart of Crescent City. This 924 sq ft home offers 3 beds and 1 bath. Built in 1977. Open living space with natural light and functional layout. Located in a quiet, low-noise area with easy access to local amenities. Ideal for downsizing, retirement, or a budget-friendly coastal escape. Room to park 2 vehicles, Roof about 2 years old, bathroom tub new 1 year ago, plenty of light, some ceilings and walls painted within the last 1 - 2 years. Whole house has vinyl windows. Most of the siding is new. Outside there is a nice 8 X 12 Storage shed. This space has more yard than most of the spaces in this mobile home park. Access can be made through both sides of the yard.

Key facts

  • Quiet low noise area
  • Natural light
  • Open living space

Tags

OPEN LIVING SPACENATURAL LIGHTQUIET LOW NOISE AREAEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIESROOM TO PARK VEHICLESROOF ABOUT 2 YEARS OLD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $63k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $724 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 3.1% in Crescent City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#730 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Del Norte County Unified (town): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #1,047 of 1,400 in CA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Crescent Elk Middle (491 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Del Norte County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Del Norte County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 345 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 26% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $55,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 345 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
20.08%
Cash-on-cash
49.23%
DSCR
3.19
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$54,159
List price
$63,000
Delta
16.32%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.9%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$35,906
Equity at exit
$9,394
10-year hold
IRR
52.6%
Equity multiple
6.14×
Total profit
$90,707
Equity at exit
$5,447

Cash invested: $17,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95531

Active inventory
230
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,467 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$330
Tax est. 1.5%
$79 /mo · $945/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$724

Break-even live

Break-even rent $551
Max offer price $63,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $767 -5% $745 +0% $724 +5% $702 +10% $680
Rent -10% $608 -5% $666 +0% $724 +5% $782 +10% $840
Rate -1.0pp $755 -0.5pp $740 base $724 +0.5pp $707 +1.0pp $691

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,750
Closing costs
$1,890
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 49 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $63,000 Active 345 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $63,000 Active 343 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $63,000 Active 342 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $63,000 Active 341 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $63,000 Active 340 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $63,000 Active 339 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $63,000 Active 337 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $63,000 Active 336 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $63,000 Active 333 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $63,000 Active 332 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $63,000 Active 331 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $63,000 Active 330 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $63,000 Active 327 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $63,000 Active 326 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $63,000 Active 325 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $63,000 Active 324 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $63,000 Active 323 DOM
  18. 2026-02-28
    price $63,000 731-char remark
    Show marketing remark (731 chars)

    A charming and affordable manufactured home nestled in the heart of Crescent City. This 924 sq ft home offers 3 beds and 1 bath. Built in 1977. Open living space with natural light and functional layout. Located in a quiet, low-noise area with easy access to local amenities. Ideal for downsizing, retirement, or a budget-friendly coastal escape. Room to park 2 vehicles, Roof about 2 years old, bathroom tub new 1 year ago, plenty of light, some ceilings and walls painted within the last 1 - 2 years. Whole house has vinyl windows. Most of the siding is new. Outside there is a nice 8 X 12 Storage shed. This space has more yard than most of the spaces in this mobile home park. Access can be made through both sides of the yard.

  19. 2025-09-17
    price $70,000 731-char remark
    Show marketing remark (731 chars)

    A charming and affordable manufactured home nestled in the heart of Crescent City. This 924 sq ft home offers 3 beds and 1 bath. Built in 1977. Open living space with natural light and functional layout. Located in a quiet, low-noise area with easy access to local amenities. Ideal for downsizing, retirement, or a budget-friendly coastal escape. Room to park 2 vehicles, Roof about 2 years old, bathroom tub new 1 year ago, plenty of light, some ceilings and walls painted within the last 1 - 2 years. Whole house has vinyl windows. Most of the siding is new. Outside there is a nice 8 X 12 Storage shed. This space has more yard than most of the spaces in this mobile home park. Access can be made through both sides of the yard.

  20. 2025-09-11
    price $30,000
  21. 2025-08-08
    listed $50,000 Active
  22. 2025-07-12
    listed $80,000 Active 731-char remark
    Show marketing remark (731 chars)

    A charming and affordable manufactured home nestled in the heart of Crescent City. This 924 sq ft home offers 3 beds and 1 bath. Built in 1977. Open living space with natural light and functional layout. Located in a quiet, low-noise area with easy access to local amenities. Ideal for downsizing, retirement, or a budget-friendly coastal escape. Room to park 2 vehicles, Roof about 2 years old, bathroom tub new 1 year ago, plenty of light, some ceilings and walls painted within the last 1 - 2 years. Whole house has vinyl windows. Most of the siding is new. Outside there is a nice 8 X 12 Storage shed. This space has more yard than most of the spaces in this mobile home park. Access can be made through both sides of the yard.

  23. 2025-03-11
    soldstatus $6,700,000
  24. 2025-01-24
    soldstatus $93,000 Closed
  25. 2024-11-21
    price $115,000
  26. 2024-11-11
    status Active
  27. 2024-10-04
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed
  28. 2024-09-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  29. 2024-08-12
    price $120,000
  30. 2024-08-06
    price $36,000
  31. 2024-07-02
    price $130,000
  32. 2024-05-30
    price $137,000
  33. 2024-05-10
    price $39,000
  34. 2024-04-27
    listed $140,000 Active
  35. 2024-04-26
    listed $49,000 Active
  36. 2024-04-22
    price $94,000
  37. 2024-04-12
    status Active
  38. 2024-03-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  39. 2024-02-28
    listed $95,000 Active
  40. 2023-10-20
    soldstatus $4,750,000
  41. 2023-09-09
    price $60,000
  42. 2023-08-07
    price $70,000
  43. 2023-07-26
    listed $80,000 Active
  44. 2021-12-23
    soldstatus $135,000
  45. 2021-11-08
    soldstatus $25,500
  46. 2020-07-24
    soldstatus $7,250
  47. 2019-09-18
    soldstatus $35,000
  48. 2018-08-08
    soldstatus $29,000
  49. 2014-05-01
    soldstatus $785,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥71°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,606
− Mortgage interest
−$3,529
− Property taxes
−$945
− Insurance
−$315
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,408
− Management
−$1,408
− Depreciation
−$1,833
Taxable income
$8,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,960
After-tax cash flow
$6,724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Del Norte County Unified
NCES district ID
0610770
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,747
Composite
28.43/100
National rank
#12110
State rank
#1047 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Crescent City

Score
57/100
State rank
#730
US rank
#21544

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
22,491

Population outlook (Del Norte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,011 people
By 2030
24,204 · -3.2%
By 2040
22,826 · -8.7%
By 2050
21,495 · -14.1%
By 2075
18,487 · -26.1%
By 2100
16,113 · -35.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Native American 5% Asian 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Russian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Del Norte

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 40.4% · R 56.8% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-9.7pp toward R · 2008: -6.8pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+17.6 2012: R+10.8 2008: R+6.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -300.53%
Current HPI
148.4819
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-92.0% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $63,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $70,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2025-09-11 Price Changed $30,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $50,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2025-07-12 Listed $80,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2025-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $6,700,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-24 Sold (MLS) $93,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-11-21 Price Changed $115,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-11-11 Relisted DNAORMLS
  • 2024-10-04 Sold (MLS) $30,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-09-24 Contingent DNAORMLS
  • 2024-08-12 Price Changed $120,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-08-06 Price Changed $36,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-07-02 Price Changed $130,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-05-30 Price Changed $137,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-05-10 Price Changed $39,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-04-27 Listed $140,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-04-26 Listed $49,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-04-22 Price Changed $94,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2024-04-12 Relisted DNAORMLS
  • 2024-03-14 Contingent DNAORMLS
  • 2024-02-28 Listed $95,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2023-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $4,750,000 Public Records
  • 2023-09-09 Price Changed $60,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2023-08-07 Price Changed $70,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2023-07-26 Listed $80,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2021-12-23 Sold (MLS) $135,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2021-11-08 Sold (MLS) $25,500 DNAORMLS
  • 2020-07-24 Sold (MLS) $7,250 DNAORMLS
  • 2019-09-18 Sold (MLS) $35,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2018-08-08 Sold (MLS) $29,000 DNAORMLS
  • 2014-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $785,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $30,094 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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