4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,901 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 249 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,386/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$323
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$501
Net cashflow
$644/mo
Annual
$7,733/yr
Cap rate
10.71%
Cash-on-cash
15.78%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $644 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Coleman Place Elementary (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,046 of 1,108 statewide, top 95%, 617 students, 98% FRL); Norview Middle (math 19% / reading 54%, grade F, #320 of 342 statewide, top 95%, 1,259 students, 89% FRL); Booker T Washington High (math 26% / reading 70%, grade D, #303 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 947 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 59% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 67d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 85% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: paint
— Peeling and chipping
Major: roof
— Appears old and possibly leaking
CashFlowRE · CFR-3PVXQ0F2JH8R91
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29