3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,305/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$197/mo
Annual
$2,364/yr
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.03%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (6.8% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $131k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#294 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Constantine Public School District (town): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #405 of 540 in MI (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $58k; list at $140k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3QTRZY0R5WWCMY
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29