13064 Riverside Dr · Constantine, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
Key facts
- 1.02 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1989
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#294 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Constantine Public School District (town): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #405 of 540 in MI (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $140k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.03%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $237,328
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67311 Oxbow Dr | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,484 (+2%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $148 | 82 |
| 67135 Oxbow Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,416 (-3%) | 22mo | $199,900 | $141 | 69 |
| 66949 Winding River Rd | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,432 (-2%) | 13mo | $210,000 | $147 | 64 |
| 13424 Riverside Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+8%) | 13mo | $299,000 | $191 | 55 |
| 67080 Oxbow Dr | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,338 (-8%) | 15mo | $244,000 | $182 | 54 |
| 13540 Riverside Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (+12%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $163 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-10,201
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $7,022
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49042
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $498/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $276 | -5% $237 | +0% $197 | +5% $157 | +10% $118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $94 | -5% $145 | +0% $197 | +5% $249 | +10% $300 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $268 | -0.5pp $233 | base $197 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $124 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-03-29status Pending 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
-
2026-03-29price $140,000 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
-
2026-03-29status Pending 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
-
2026-03-29status Pending
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
-
2026-03-29price $140,000
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
-
2026-03-28price $140,000 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
-
2026-03-26$129,900 Active 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
-
2026-03-26$129,900 Active 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
-
2026-03-26$129,900 Active
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!
-
2025-03-07historical
-
2025-03-07historical
-
2025-02-14$85,000 Active
-
2025-02-14$85,000 Active
-
2025-01-06soldstatus $57,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $498 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,327 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$829/yr (+$69/mo · 166.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$498
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,253
- − Management
- −$1,253
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $42
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,354/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Constantine Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2610750
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,631
- Composite
- 22.6/100
- National rank
- #8070
- State rank
- #405 of 540 in MI
Livability — Constantine
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #294
- US rank
- #7333
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,695
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,726 people
- By 2030
- 57,030 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 53,266 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 49,343 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 40,441 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 31,981 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 14% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.95%
- Current HPI
- 215.2838
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+143.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-29 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-29 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $140,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $129,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-03-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-14 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-14 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $498 · -26.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…