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13064 Riverside Dr
C Composite 57.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

13064 Riverside Dr · Constantine, MI 49042
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1989 1.02 ac lot Est $237k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

Key facts

  • 1.02 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1989

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (6.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#294 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Constantine Public School District (town): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #405 of 540 in MI (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $140k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,509 (6.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.03%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$237,328
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
67311 Oxbow Dr 0.03mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,484 (+2%) 4mo $220,000 $148 82
67135 Oxbow Dr 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,416 (-3%) 22mo $199,900 $141 69
66949 Winding River Rd 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,432 (-2%) 13mo $210,000 $147 64
13424 Riverside Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+8%) 13mo $299,000 $191 55
67080 Oxbow Dr 0.28mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,338 (-8%) 15mo $244,000 $182 54
13540 Riverside Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,630 (+12%) 2mo $265,000 $163 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-10,201
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$7,022
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49042

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $498/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,056
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $276 -5% $237 +0% $197 +5% $157 +10% $118
Rent -10% $94 -5% $145 +0% $197 +5% $249 +10% $300
Rate -1.0pp $268 -0.5pp $233 base $197 +0.5pp $161 +1.0pp $124

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-03-29
    status Pending 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

  2. 2026-03-29
    price $140,000 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

  3. 2026-03-29
    status Pending 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

  4. 2026-03-29
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

  5. 2026-03-29
    price $140,000
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

  6. 2026-03-28
    price $140,000 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

  7. 2026-03-26
    listed $129,900 Active 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

  8. 2026-03-26
    listed $129,900 Active 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

  9. 2026-03-26
    listed $129,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering spacious bedrooms, bathrooms and plenty of closet storage throughout. Located in the country of Constantine with a functional layout, large yard and great potential. Move in ready!

  10. 2025-03-07
    historical
  11. 2025-03-07
    historical
  12. 2025-02-14
    listed $85,000 Active
  13. 2025-02-14
    listed $85,000 Active
  14. 2025-01-06
    soldstatus $57,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$498 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,327 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$829/yr (+$69/mo · 166.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,661
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$498
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,253
− Management
−$1,253
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$42
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10
After-tax cash flow
$2,354/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Constantine Public School District
NCES district ID
2610750
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$47,631
Composite
22.6/100
National rank
#8070
State rank
#405 of 540 in MI

Livability — Constantine

Score
70/100
State rank
#294
US rank
#7333

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,695

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,726 people
By 2030
57,030 · -2.9%
By 2040
53,266 · -9.3%
By 2050
49,343 · -16.0%
By 2075
40,441 · -31.1%
By 2100
31,981 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 14% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.95%
Current HPI
215.2838
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+143.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-29 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-29 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-29 Price Changed $140,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $129,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-14 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-14 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $498 · -26.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…