3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,765 sqft ·
Built 1919
· Townhouse
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,252/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,211
Tax + insurance
−$1,338
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$893
Net cashflow
$-2,191/mo
Annual
$-26,286/yr
Cap rate
3.02%
Cash-on-cash
-11.69%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.53%
Cash to close
$224,861
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $190k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-26k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $190k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Capitol Hill Montessori School At Logan (424 students, 0% FRL); Mckinley Ms (222 students, 0% FRL); Dunbar Hs (868 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 6.3% of price; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 558 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— The siding is visibly weathered and peeling, indicating significant damage and the need for replacement.
Major: Roof
— The roof appears to be in fair condition but may require inspection for leaks or damage, which could be a major issue.
Major: Landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and unkempt, with debris and debris on the ground, indicating a need for significant maintenance and landscaping improvements.
Major: Flooring
— The flooring is in poor condition, with visible damage and wear, indicating a need for replacement or repair.
Major: Interior walls and ceilings
— The walls and ceilings show signs of water damage and peeling paint, indicating a need for significant repairs and repainting.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3RJNVR8QARJY6J
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29