3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,824 sqft ·
Built 2007
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,240/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$21
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$470
Net cashflow
$-257/mo
Annual
$-3,078/yr
Cap rate
5.27%
Cash-on-cash
-3.67%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-257 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (15.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (25.3% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $224k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#14 in MO, #1,402 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
Wentzville R-IV (suburban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 324 in MO (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Wabash Elementary (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #517 of 1,115 statewide, top 46%, 775 students, 8% FRL); Wentzville Middle (math 40% / reading 42%, grade F, #172 of 391 statewide, top 46%, 794 students, 19% FRL); North Point High School (1,075 students, 10% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 704 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,021 units permitted in St. Charles County in 2024 (568 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Charles County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $200k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.4% in Wentzville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 33 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29