2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,429 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,081/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$233/mo
Annual
$2,797/yr
Cap rate
9.40%
Cash-on-cash
11.11%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#260 in SD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Arlington School District 38-1 (rural): math 75% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #3 of 148 in SD (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Arlington Elementary - 02 (math 82% / reading 72%, grade A, #8 of 253 statewide, top 3%, 155 students, 17% FRL); Arlington Jr. High - 03 (math 84% / reading 74%, grade A+, #1 of 143 statewide, top 0%, 38 students, 8% FRL); Arlington High School - 01 (math 70% / reading 50%, grade C+, #31 of 151 statewide, top 32%, 88 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 13% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Kingsbury County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kingsbury County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen countertops
— Cluttered and could use cleaning
Minor: Bathtub
— Peeling paint could be repainted
CashFlowRE · CFR-3SK7WK86QGRAR7
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29