3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,944 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 212 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,226/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$74
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$270/mo
Annual
$3,242/yr
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.73%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#199 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Mountain View-Gotebo (rural): math 50% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #45 of 513 in OK (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mountain View-Gotebo Es (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 202 students, 0% FRL); Mountain View-Gotebo Hs (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #309 of 447 statewide, top 70%, 66 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mountain View-Gotebo average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3SP5ZQBC989JPP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29