None bd · None ba ·
28,386 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 197 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$24,753/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,964
Tax + insurance
−$3,167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,198
Net cashflow
$6,424/mo
Annual
$77,093/yr
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.49%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$532,000
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $1.90M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($77k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($25k rent vs $1.90M).
It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.67M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.67M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $13k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $57k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#76 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
Rolla 31 (town): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #118 of 324 in MO (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.2%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 162 units permitted in Phelps County in 2024 (83 in 5+ unit buildings).
Phelps County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $532k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.5% in Rolla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $24,753/mo this rent would consume 530% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1122% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29