1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,126/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$205/mo
Annual
$2,463/yr
Cap rate
8.78%
Cash-on-cash
8.88%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#268 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Atchison Public Schools (town): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #154 of 169 in KS (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Atchison Elementary School (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #537 of 684 statewide, top 79%, 703 students, 68% FRL); Atchison Middle School (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #152 of 219 statewide, top 72%, 313 students, 65% FRL); Atchison High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #235 of 327 statewide, top 74%, 429 students, 56% FRL).
Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Atchison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atchison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.7% in Atchison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt
Major: Foundation
— Exposed and in need of repair
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29