1014 Ann St · Atchison, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 9,125 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
- Listed 31 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.7% in Atchison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#268 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Atchison Public Schools (town): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #154 of 169 in KS (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Atchison Elementary School (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #537 of 684 statewide, top 79%, 703 students, 68% FRL); Atchison High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #235 of 327 statewide, top 74%, 429 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Atchison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atchison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.88%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $98,496
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1014 Ann St | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 1,728 (0%) | 1mo | $99,000 | $57 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-2,954
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $14,328
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66002
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $239 | +0% $205 | +5% $171 | +10% $137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $116 | -5% $161 | +0% $205 | +5% $250 | +10% $294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $255 | -0.5pp $230 | base $205 | +0.5pp $180 | +1.0pp $153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-03-14status Pending
-
2026-03-07$99,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $943
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$226
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,237/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The property requires significant exterior and interior repairs, including painting and landscaping, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
- Major Foundation — Exposed and in need of repair
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and property value
- Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Bathroom fixtures — Modernizing bathrooms can boost both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Foundation · Exposed and in need of repair | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Bathroom fixtures — Modernizing bathrooms can boost both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atchison Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2003540
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,220
- Composite
- 18.48/100
- National rank
- #8922
- State rank
- #154 of 169 in KS
Livability — Atchison
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #12122
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atchison, KS
- County
- Atchison County · 13,276 people
- City population
- 13,276
- Metro
- Atchison, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,276
- Household income
- $61,364
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 228.0
Population outlook (Atchison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,056 people
- By 2030
- 15,610 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 14,691 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 13,856 · -13.7%
- By 2075
- 12,402 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 10,883 · -32.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atchison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.3% · R 67.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.7pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+7.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -252.16%
- Current HPI
- 192.1037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atchison, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-14 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Listed $99,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…