2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$214
Net cashflow
$418/mo
Annual
$5,010/yr
Cap rate
17.43%
Cash-on-cash
39.77%
DSCR
2.77
1% rule
2.27%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sarah S King El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 564 students, 98% FRL); Lanier H S (math 9% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,632 statewide, top 95%, 1,547 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 80% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3XJ5HQ6DJRDPJS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29