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2807 Tampico
A Composite 87.29
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$45,000

2807 Tampico · San Antonio, TX 78207
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1947 3,746 sqft lot Est $67k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

OFF-MARKET DEAL: INVESTOR SPECIAL 2807 Tampico St, San Antonio, TX 78207 2 Bed / 1 Bath | 600 Sq Ft THE DEAL: Motivated seller looking for a quick cash exit. This 1947 property is a prime candidate for a full rehab or a "buy and hold" rental in the high-demand 78207 zip code. INVESTOR HIGHLIGHTS: * Foundation: Pier & Beam (easy access for plumbing/electric updates). * Location: 5 mins from Downtown SA and Our Lady of the Lake University. TERMS: * Condition: Sold AS-IS. * Closing: Fast close preferred.

Key facts

  • High-demand zip code
  • Full rehab
  • 5 mins from downtown

Tags

FULL REHABHIGH-DEMAND ZIP CODEPIER AND BEAM FOUNDATION5 MINS FROM DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sarah S King El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 564 students, 98% FRL); Lanier H S (math 9% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,632 statewide, top 95%, 1,547 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 80% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.27%
Cap rate
17.43%
Cash-on-cash
39.77%
DSCR
2.77
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$67,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1503 Loma Vista St 0.14mi 2/1.0 641 (+7%) 4mo $55,000 $86 78
1717 Montezuma 0.32mi 1/1.0 (-1) 576 (-4%) 10mo $69,999 $122 65
3538 EL Paso St 0.43mi 2/1.0 616 (+3%) 16mo $99,900 $162 62
2429 Potosi 0.16mi 2/2.0 674 (+12%) 12mo $45,000 $67 58
2926 El Paso 0.39mi 2/1.0 672 (+12%) 6mo $39,999 $60 57
2721 Colima 0.28mi 2/1.0 672 (+12%) 14mo $75,000 $112 55
2605 Guadalupe St 0.52mi 2/1.0 636 (+6%) 13mo $99,900 $157 55
818 Angela 0.42mi 1/1.0 (-1) 680 (+13%) 4mo $65,000 $96 50
1125 Elvira St 0.56mi 1/1.0 (-1) 646 (+8%) 15mo $54,900 $85 44
1528 Santiago St 0.46mi 2/1.0 675 (+12%) 19mo $100,000 $148 42
912 Elvira 0.68mi 2/1.0 530 (-12%) 8mo $90,000 $170 42
223 SW 19th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 680 (+13%) 13mo $72,000 $106 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.7%
Equity multiple
5.46×
Total profit
$56,248
Equity at exit
$40,540
10-year hold
IRR
54.4%
Equity multiple
13.49×
Total profit
$157,315
Equity at exit
$87,425

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78207

Home prices YoY
15.2%
Rents YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,020 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,598/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$418

Break-even live

Break-even rent $491
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3017 Colima St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 480 $800 $1.67 43d 1 0.25mi
2721 Colima St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 15d 1 0.30mi
1938 S Zarzamora St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 744 $915 $1.23 3d 1 0.83mi
2003 S Zarzamora St San Antonio, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $1,120 $1.09 24d 1 0.84mi
321 N Chupaderas St Unit 101 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 410 $790 $1.93 43d 1 1.30mi
1820 Ruiz St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 504 $750 $1.49 2d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-02-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-24
    status Back on Market
  3. 2026-02-24
    status Pending
  4. 2026-02-18
    listed $45,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,598 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,598 · $133/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,235
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$1,598
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$979
− Management
−$979
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$4,624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,110
After-tax cash flow
$3,901/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
55,474
Household income
$32,472
Rent vs Own
59.7% rent · 40.3% own
Severe rent burden
2789.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 41% White 6% Black 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 79%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 60%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 34.92%
Current HPI
264.7559
Rent YoY
▲ 7.73%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Pending LERA
  • 2026-02-24 Relisted LERA
  • 2026-02-24 Pending LERA
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $45,000 LERA

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,598 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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