181 Pelican Cir

St. Marys, GA 31569

$57,000B+

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Built 1984 · Other · Active · 118 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,915/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$299
• Tax + insurance: −$476
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$402
• Net cashflow: $738/mo
• Annual: $8,858/yr
• Cap rate: 30.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 87.57%
• DSCR: 4.90
• 1% rule: 3.36%
• Cash to close: $15,960

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $57k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $738 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $57k).
• It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $52k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($394 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Camden County (town): math 56% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Camden County High School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #37 of 424 statewide, top 9%, 2,673 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 383 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Camden County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $32k; list at $57k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.