3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
925 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$766
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$426
Net cashflow
$-265/mo
Annual
$-3,178/yr
Cap rate
4.78%
Cash-on-cash
-5.40%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-265 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (22.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (3.4% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $163k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#81 in IL, #1,314 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F.
Homewood Flossmoor Chsd 233 (suburban): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #272 of 620 in IL (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Homewood-Flossmoor High School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #304 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 2,798 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
13 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 6.1% in Homewood — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29