4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,710 sqft ·
Built 1943
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,550/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$637
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$-357/mo
Annual
$-4,280/yr
Cap rate
3.92%
Cash-on-cash
-8.49%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-357 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (25.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (13.9% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $135k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
Vestal Central School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #168 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Clayton Avenue Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #842 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 248 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 17% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $89k; list at $180k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-41RB6HEP2VCR46
· Data 58 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29