4 bd · 0.0 ba ·
2,102 sqft ·
Built 1937
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,556/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$537
Net cashflow
$741/mo
Annual
$8,889/yr
Cap rate
11.10%
Cash-on-cash
17.16%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $185k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $370/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hannah Penn (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,516 of 1,518 statewide, top 100%, 679 students, 100% FRL); Edgar Fahs Smith Steam Academy (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #432 of 512 statewide, top 85%, 240 students, 100% FRL); William Penn Shs (math 22% / reading 8%, grade F, #407 of 437 statewide, top 94%, 1,534 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.9% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— Paint appears worn and needs repainting
Major: interior walls
— Paint appears worn and needs repainting
CashFlowRE · CFR-427CYCC0A6KW6H
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29