6 bd · 6.5 ba ·
7,050 sqft ·
Built 1750
· Other
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$31,103/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$13,608
Tax + insurance
−$3,330
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,532
Net cashflow
$7,633/mo
Annual
$91,596/yr
Cap rate
9.82%
Cash-on-cash
12.61%
DSCR
1.56
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$726,600
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/6.5-bath other listed at $2.60M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($92k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($31k rent vs $2.60M).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($2.44M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.44M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $18k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $78k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Weston School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #4 of 153 in CT (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 1% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1750 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
12 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $372k; list at $2.60M implies a 598% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $727k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.1% in Weston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1750 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-43247X2W7CSNAP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29