4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,584 sqft ·
Built 1944
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,177/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$340
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$457
Net cashflow
$-36/mo
Annual
$-437/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.58%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-437/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (2.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (19.4% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $218k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Hunter B. Andrews (math 65% / reading 72%, grade B+, #357 of 1,108 statewide, top 33%, 1,131 students, 81% FRL); Thomas Eaton Middle (math 51% / reading 60%, grade B-, #186 of 342 statewide, top 55%, 577 students, 88% FRL); Phoebus High (math 57% / reading 76%, grade B, #195 of 319 statewide, top 62%, 1,365 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 49% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-43B442B81GAG8Q
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29