4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
5,656 sqft ·
Built 1927
· Condo
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,893/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,693
Tax + insurance
−$1,503
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$818
Net cashflow
$-3,120/mo
Annual
$-37,443/yr
Cap rate
2.11%
Cash-on-cash
-14.94%
DSCR
0.34
1% rule
0.44%
Cash to close
$250,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath condo listed at $895k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-37k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $344k (61.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $389k (56.5% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($868k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $344k (61.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#26 in IL, #464 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Evanston Twp Hsd 202 (urban): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #54 of 620 in IL (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $300k; list at $895k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 2.1% vs local median 2.9% in Evanston — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $3,893/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($99k/yr) (locally 784% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 62% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-452K18CY2ABF3K
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29