2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,620 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,057/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,068
Tax + insurance
−$339
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$-572/mo
Annual
$-6,869/yr
Cap rate
2.92%
Cash-on-cash
-12.05%
DSCR
0.46
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$57,027
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $1.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-572 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#274 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
Alma School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #111 of 238 in AR (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 305503.5% of price.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crawford County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-45MYJ2B5TACA7Z
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29