3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,144 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,616/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$339
Net cashflow
$150/mo
Annual
$1,805/yr
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.91%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (2.0% below list).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#131 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Adams-Cheshire (rural): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #285 of 302 in MA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hoosac Valley Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #577 of 938 statewide, top 65%, 374 students, 0% FRL); Hoosac Valley Middle School (math 8% / reading 28%, grade F, #264 of 305 statewide, top 87%, 288 students, 0% FRL); Hoosac Valley High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #270 of 343 statewide, top 80%, 324 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 36% district-wide (36 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $165k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.7% in Adams — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4603348T6J32QQ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29