2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,283/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$235
Tax + insurance
−$32
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$746/mo
Annual
$8,953/yr
Cap rate
26.23%
Cash-on-cash
71.21%
DSCR
4.17
1% rule
2.86%
Cash to close
$12,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $746 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#527 in PA, #4,886 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Northeastern York SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #119 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 3.4% in Weigelstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-469HB75W3GP0Y2
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29