3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$207
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$324/mo
Annual
$3,891/yr
Cap rate
8.65%
Cash-on-cash
8.40%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#145 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D+, crime F.
Globe Unified District (4208) (town): math 11% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #206 of 249 in AZ (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Copper Rim Elementary School (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #796 of 1,109 statewide, top 72%, 765 students, 56% FRL); High Desert Middle School (math 9% / reading 18%, grade F, #167 of 218 statewide, top 77%, 407 students, 55% FRL); Globe High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #252 of 381 statewide, top 67%, 498 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $68/mo.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 217 units permitted in Gila County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gila County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $200k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.8% in Globe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-46ASCN2D2RXVBQ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29