2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Other
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$823/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$123
Tax + insurance
−$39
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$173
Net cashflow
$488/mo
Annual
$5,852/yr
Cap rate
31.19%
Cash-on-cash
88.93%
DSCR
4.96
1% rule
3.50%
Cash to close
$6,580
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $24k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($823 rent vs $24k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $23k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $162 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $705 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 31.2% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: ceiling
— slight discoloration
Minor: baseboards
— slight wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-485T0RC5C3A1WT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29