207 Viola Dr · Freeport, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$23,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
this is a two-bedroom one bath 924 ft. & Acirc; & sup2; mobile home. Was recently remodeled with laminate flooring throughout. washer and dryer refrigerator and stove are included in the sale of home. the stove is a GE 5 burner double oven lower oven features an air fryer and conviction oven and is less than a year old was purchased brand-new. It has a good-sized yard with an 8 x 10 shed on a concrete slab also included in the sale is a lawnmower and we whacker.
Key facts
- 8 x 10 shed
- Included lawnmower
- Included we whacker
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $24k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($823 rent vs $24k).
- Recommended offer: $23k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.2% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
- Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $162 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $705 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 88.93%
- DSCR
- 4.96
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 89.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.14×
- Total profit
- $27,262
- Equity at exit
- $3,504
- IRR
- 92.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.69×
- Total profit
- $63,781
- Equity at exit
- $2,032
Cash invested: $6,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61032
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $823 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$123
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$29 /mo · $352/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $488
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,875
- Closing costs
- $705
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2284 W Galena Ave Unit WRE 027H Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $800 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1436 W American St Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,100 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $23,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $23,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $23,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $23,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $23,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $23,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $23,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $23,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $23,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $23,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $23,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $23,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $23,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $23,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $23,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$23,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,874
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,316
- − Property taxes
- −$352
- − Insurance
- −$118
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$790
- − Management
- −$790
- − Depreciation
- −$684
- Taxable income
- $5,824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,398
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This two-bedroom mobile home has good interior and exterior features but requires minor repairs and painting to enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor ceiling — slight discoloration
- Minor baseboards — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace ceiling — Minor discoloration indicates potential water damage
- Both repair baseboards — Minor wear can be easily fixed and improves home's appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| ceiling · slight discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| baseboards · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace ceiling — Minor discoloration indicates potential water damage ↑
- Both repair baseboards — Minor wear can be easily fixed and improves home's appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Freeport SD 145
- NCES district ID
- 1715900
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,803
- Composite
- 9.89/100
- National rank
- #9821
- State rank
- #565 of 620 in IL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #5927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,072
Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,802 people
- By 2030
- 39,487 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 34,534 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 29,693 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 21,196 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 14,596 · -65.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.75%
- Current HPI
- 163.677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $23,500 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…