2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Manufactured
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,909/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$252
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$1,176/mo
Annual
$14,115/yr
Cap rate
35.70%
Cash-on-cash
105.02%
DSCR
5.67
1% rule
3.98%
Cash to close
$13,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#54 in UT, #3,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: H C Burton School (math 61% / reading 60%, grade B-, #49 of 585 statewide, top 9%, 671 students, 10% FRL); Kaysville Jr High (math 76% / reading 52%, grade B+, #3 of 138 statewide, top 1%, 965 students, 11% FRL); Davis High (math 51% / reading 60%, grade C, #17 of 171 statewide, top 9%, 2,175 students, 8% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 45% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Davis District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($134k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-48JT1HEMG4J53Y
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29