3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,163/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$753
Tax + insurance
−$104
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$63/mo
Annual
$753/yr
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.87%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$40,180
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $144k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($753/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (18.9% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($992 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#328 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Checotah (town): math 32% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #72 of 270 in OK (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McIntosh County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $144k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Checotah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4AP21Y0JCB5M63
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29