3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,428 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,175/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$247
Net cashflow
$54/mo
Annual
$646/yr
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.54%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($646/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (21.7% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $117k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#374 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Walker County (rural): math 13% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 129 in AL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Sumiton Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #442 of 627 statewide, top 72%, 714 students, 72% FRL); Dora High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 472 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 53% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4AYRXPCGRY4MH4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29