3015 Sharon Blvd · Dora, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to peaceful county living with city convenience! This 3 bedroom/1 bath home with an open floor plan is situated on a spacious half acre lot just 3 miles from I-22. 25 minutes to Birmingham, 20 minutes to Jasper, and 8 minutes to Sumiton
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- City convenience
- 0.5 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property parcel ID provided; Approximately 0.5 acre lot
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Off-street parking; Parking on main level; 2-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Electric water heater; Internet available (Spectrum); Ceiling fans
- Home design: Single-story layout (rooms listed at main level); 4-side brick construction; Existing structure
- Construction: 4-side brick exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Electric oven and electric stove
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level (total bedrooms listed: 3)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heat pump; Central cooling; Electric heat pump for cooling
- Interior features: Carpet, hardwood, and vinyl floors; Ceilings: other (see remarks); Gas ventless fireplace in the family room; No additional built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($646/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (21.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#374 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Walker County (rural): math 13% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 129 in AL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Sumiton Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #442 of 627 statewide, top 72%, 714 students, 72% FRL); Dora High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 472 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 53% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.54%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $217,056
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3060 Sharon Blvd | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-9%) | 13mo | $137,000 | $105 | 62 |
| 102 Red Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-12%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $152 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $85,040
- Equity at exit
- $135,132
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.89×
- Total profit
- $247,569
- Equity at exit
- $291,417
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35130
- Home prices YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $302/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 244-char remark
-
2026-06-15$150,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $302 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $615 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$313/yr (+$26/mo · 104.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$302
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,128
- − Management
- −$1,128
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,976
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$474
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,120/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walker County
- NCES district ID
- 0103450
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,664
- Composite
- 21.51/100
- National rank
- #8321
- State rank
- #89 of 129 in AL
Livability — Dora
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #21559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dora, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,239
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,037 people
- By 2030
- 58,391 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 53,080 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 48,031 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 37,799 · -38.1%
- By 2100
- 29,001 · -52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 9% Black 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 6% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada, Jamaica
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.8) · D 13.8% · R 85.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -46.4pp · 2024: -71.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+52.9 2008: R+46.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.51%
- Current HPI
- 176.96
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $150,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2024): $302 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…