3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,418 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,244/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$197/mo
Annual
$2,363/yr
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.54%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (3.6% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#627 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Hobart (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 270 in OK (top 41%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hobart Es (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #255 of 845 statewide, top 35%, 366 students, 0% FRL); Hobart Hs (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 197 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 63% district-wide (63 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $129k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4B5SFC4Z4N7VKP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29