4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,088 sqft ·
Built 1931
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,743/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$576
Net cashflow
$1,529/mo
Annual
$18,345/yr
Cap rate
26.70%
Cash-on-cash
72.88%
DSCR
4.24
1% rule
3.05%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#247 in NY, #3,884 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
Amsterdam City School District (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #546 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $90k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 6.3% in Amsterdam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4B6H8771PQ30DY
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29