3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,933 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$122
Tax + insurance
−$24
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$652/mo
Annual
$7,820/yr
Cap rate
39.91%
Cash-on-cash
120.08%
DSCR
6.34
1% rule
4.34%
Cash to close
$6,513
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $23k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $23k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $23k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $591 of equity ($161 loan paydown + $430 appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#394 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Lamar County (rural): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #57 of 129 in AL (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Vernon Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 278 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 48% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP.
Lamar County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4BGECK1ZZEQP1T
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29